Thursday, October 2, 2008

I Repeat, McCain Is Toast

McCain's fate hangs on three states.

ST. LOUIS — Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) now must win Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Minnesota in order to get enough electoral votes to win the presidency, his campaign says.

Those were considered swing states in 2000 and 2004, but George W. Bush lost them both times.

McCain is currently, and consistently, polling behind Obama in all three states.

Even more interestingly, the article states that even a win in one of these states means that McCain must still win ten votes from Nevada, Colorado, or New Hampshire. While all three of these states are close, McCain continues to run behind there as well.

For my money, Pennsylvania is beyond McCain's reach and has been for quite a while.

All of these numbers are making the very large assumption that McCain can hold on to Florida and Ohio, states where he is - all together now! - currently polling behind Obama.

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